Saturday, January 24, 2009

$TRIN bullish daily chart

Seems like betting on significant downside has increased risk now that the market has not rolled over. Pulled the plug on my puts Friday since the downside didnt appear to be developing.
The 800 level in SP500 is being defended fiercely.
Thinking now the heavy selling scenario described on Thursday is now on hold but still leaning towards it playing out since we haven't seen a broad-based capitulation yet. I would call last week a 'soft capitulation' since it only involved the financials.

In this TRIN chart which needs some indicator recalibration points towards some bounce over the next week. Green lines indicate bounce points.

July 11 - GLD sucks

stopped out of GLD yesterday for -25%.  Holding off on reentry and maybe will enter if we drop another level. SPY on the other hand is crus...