I really don't know what will happen here long term as we are getting conflicting readings but odds seem good that equities will pullback May/ Jun into the middle of the range. Approximately 198 in SPY. That said, I am not short as I would prefer to see if and when we get a bounce this week. Tech is very oversold and daily charts are issuing pretty promising reversal candles. What happens after a few days though is unknown and I may be looking at going short on a fading bounce.
I have a boatload of GLD Aug 113 calls and am going to make a slight adjustment and push them out to Sept 30 115 calls. Also will probably add SLV Oct calls. I am looking for a target of 140 in GLD.
One interesting thing is the USD. We are at a zone of what is typically a bounce but if the level fails there could be much more room to the downside.
Seasonality presents some headwinds for May/ June courtesy of Macro Man
May/ June not friendly to the bulls recently.
AAPL might be poised for a technical bounce and will be looking at very small position of Jun 90 calls tomorrow.
Sunday, May 1, 2016
May 1 - Intermediate term sell signal SPY on Friday, GLD looks like it is starting another leg up
at May 01, 2016
I am heavily long calls in $C, $BAC, $JPM for late Jun, July, Aug. Mad conviction here.
I have been stopped out twice in last few weeks trying to short GLD. I have a pretty sizeable position of Nov/ Dec GLD/ GDX puts. Also ha...
Jumped back in on the open as it looks like we have a short term trend change. Annoyed it decided to leave without me but worth the chase a...