Sunday, June 12, 2016

Jun 12 - Treasuries up, equities up = equities warning signal?

This was one thing that was worrying me up until I got stopped out of my longs Friday.  There was a strange amount of interest in Treasuries even as equities were rising.  You see divergences all the time so in itself it isn't actionable but it can act as a warning signal that money is trying to move to a safer spot in advance.

Not sure if this is a false breakout but so far looks legit and if equities tank, they will continue to get more of a bid.

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July 11 - GLD sucks

stopped out of GLD yesterday for -25%.  Holding off on reentry and maybe will enter if we drop another level. SPY on the other hand is crus...